Showing posts with label analytics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label analytics. Show all posts

Monday, 8 December 2014

WEEKLY REWIEW : The US Dollar Ended the Week with Growth

002 - analytics-trading-forex-trader 
Last week was full of important events, which caused some splash of volatility in the currency market. These events, of course, should include a number of global central banks decisions regarding interest rates, as well as the publication of data of the US labor market. The results of meetings of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada and the Bank of England as a whole were as expected. All they have left interest rates unchanged, so the market reaction was rather modest. Besides, the Bank of England also left the volumes of the asset purchase program unchanged that does not contribute to increasing of the attractiveness of the British pound against the US dollar.

Planned for the week:

Monday, 8th December
09:30 GMT – Eurozone. Sentix Investor Confidence;
13:15 GMT – Canada. Housing Starts (m/m, y/y);
15:00 GMT – USA. Labor market conditions index (LMCI).

This week traders should pay attention to the release of such statistics as: industrial production in the UK, consumer price inflation in China and Germany, the SNB and the RBNZ decisions regarding interest rates.

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Tuesday, 26 August 2014

WEEKLY REVIEW / The British Pound Is Unable to Resume Growth

Analytics5

Monday, 25th August
08:00 GMT- Germany. German IFO - Business Climate;
08:00 GMT- Germany. German IFO- Business Expectations;
08:00 GMT- Germany. German IFO - Expectations;
13:45 GMT- USA. Markit US Services PMI;
13:45 GMT- USA. Markit US Composite PMI;
14:00 GMT- USA. New Home Sales (MoM) (JUL);
23:45 - New Zealand. Trade Balance (MoM, y/y).

Tuesday, 23 April 2013

EXLUSIVE IAFT ANALITICS

The EURUSD Remains in Narrow Range
eurusd23

The EURUSD was lowly decreasing towards the 30th figure first, then – to the level of 1.3015. Afterwards, it started increasing to the resistance at 1.3070 and dropped back to 1.3033 during the Asian session. The first day of the new trading week turned out to be like this, and there happened nothing new to the EURUSD pair. It remains in a narrow range, which will surely be broken, but hardly anyone knows the time period and the direction as well. It is indisputable that if the euro passes the support at around 1.3000, the rate will decrease towards the 29th figure. If the bulls make their way above 1.3070-1.3100, their chances to test the 1.3200 level will be dramatically increased.

Author: Anthony Porter, IAFT Analyst

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Wednesday, 17 April 2013

EXLUSIVE IAFT ANALITICS

The EURUSD Increases to Figure 32

eurusd17.04

Yesterday, it was a successful day for the EURUSD bulls. After the pair's another decrease to the 1.3029 support is was bought again, but this time, it is was at the full mercy of the bulls. Consequently, this euro managed to overcome the resistance of 1.3120-1.3140 and increase up to 1.3201, having increased above the level of 1.3171. Thus, the outlook has been substantially improved, and the bulls may rely on the pair's continued increase that is also proved by the Parabolic SAR below the price chart. However, there is the 100-day MA which is running at current levels, thus it may make the bulls' efforts difficult. This time, the pair is to be fixed above 1.3140-1.3120, otherwise yesterday's efforts will be in vain regarding the bulls.

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Wednesday, 6 March 2013

EXCLUSIVE IAFT ANALYTICS / The EUR/USD Continues to Consolidate Above Figure 30

Another day passed, and there are still no changes in the EUR/USD observed. The pair continued to consolidate in the formed range between the 1.2983 and 1.3075 levels. Therefore, there is nothing to add here, by and large — nothing to add at all. The euro is neither overbought, nor oversold. Thus, the break may occur in any direction. The growth to 1.3125 — 1.3171 should theoretically attract sellers, but there might be a change in the trend when the latter has been overcome. In case of passing the current lows at 1.2966, the next bears' target will be the level of 1.2880 will.

  eurusd06.03

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Thursday, 28 February 2013

EXCLUSIVE IAFT ANALYTICS / Italian 5- and 10-year Bond Auction in Focus Today

Yesterday, the markets continued to "digest" the Italian elections' results. The euro was under pressure, but the support on the way to the 30th figure failed to constrain the bears' onslaught. In his speech, Ben Bernanke said nothing new in general. The head of the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to promote the Asset Purchase Program, but noted that "the QE increase may cause the loss of the Fed's confidence to roll the measures back, but very low interest rates could harm the financial stability." However there was not any special markets' special reaction to the speech. The stock markets' reduction was changed into its increase, the USD/JPY is trying to determine the direction, and the euro is consolidating in the formed range.

Planned for today: 13:30 — UK. GDP (QoQ);
14:00 — Eurozone. Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence;
17:30 — USA. Durable Goods Orders;
19:00 — USA. Pending Home Sales (MoM);
19:30 — USA. Crude Oil Inventories.

The GDP data for the UK will be of interest today. The pound recently was clearly not in favor with investors and dropped under the pressure of various factors, including the negative macroeconomic statistics as well. Today's GDP may give the British pound a chance to rehabilitate. Therefore, if the GDP is at least at the zero level, and the best for it to demonstrate a positive idex, then we can expect the correction in the British currency. If the index is the same (that is, 0.3%) or below, the pressure on the pound will continue. 

Also the Italian bond auction is going to be held today, where Italy is planning to sell five-year bonds for the amount from 1.75 to 2.5 billion euros, and 10-year-old — for the amount of 3 to 4 billion euros. After the elections, this auction will be serve an indicator of the investor's confidence. If the papers continue to be in demand and their yield decreases, the euro will have an incentive to increase. Otherwise, it would face another wave of sales.

  sp27.02

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Tuesday, 26 February 2013

Exclusive IAFT analytics / The Euro and Stocks Indices Decreased After Italian Elections

The election results in Italy still caused some uncertainty in the markets that, in turn, triggered the sales of risky assets, due to which the stock indices decreased and the euro even lost nearly 300 points. Doubts that the new government will continue to implement Mario Monti's reforms to combat the financial crisis, returned the anti risky market sentiment amid the increased concerns about the ability of the Eurozone to overcome the financial crisis.

Planned for today:15:00 — UK. CBI Reported Sales;
18:00 — USA. House Price Index (MoM);
19:00 — USA. New Home Sales (MoM);
19:00 — USA. Richmond Fed Manufact. Index;
19:00 — USA. Consumer Confidence.


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